Belgium enter this Group G fixture as overwhelming favourites, with Polymarket pricing them at 70¢ (70% implied win probability) versus Iran at just 11¢. The Red Devils arrive off a stunning 5-0 demolition of Tunisia in their pre-WC final warm-up (June 6), with Jeremy Doku delivering 8 chances created and two assists alone. De Bruyne (fit and starting), Trossard (Arsenal, UCL finalist), and Doku (21 goal contributions at Man City in 2025-26) form a lethal attack. Belgium also beat Croatia 2-0 and drew 1-1 with Mexico in their lead-up tests. Iran, meanwhile, face serious off-field disruption — their training base was moved from the USA to Mexico due to political tensions with co-host Donald Trump, and Sardar Azmoun (57 intl goals) has been excluded from the squad for alleged disloyalty to the Iranian government. With Lukaku showing signs of returning fitness (came on vs Tunisia, scored late vs Croatia), Belgium have a complete squad. Iran's defensive resilience (4-2-3-1, Taremi-led) will be tested from the first whistle. Our pick: Belgium win comfortably 2-0, with De Bruyne pulling strings and Doku exploiting Iran's wide areas relentlessly. Iran may snatch a consolation goal via Taremi — but this is Belgium's match to lose.