Belgium enter this Round of 32 as the more structured, experienced side — Group G winners on 5 points with just 2 goals conceded and a dominant 5-1 rout of New Zealand to finish. Their aging but world-class spine of De Bruyne (Napoli, 34), Lukaku (90+ international goals), Trossard (2 WC goals, Arsenal) and Courtois (Real Madrid) is a major quality edge. However, Senegal are no pushovers — the Lions of Teranga scored 8 goals across 3 group games (the joint-most), including a breathtaking 5-0 dismantling of Iraq to qualify as one of the best 3rd-place finishers. Their pace in transition through Ismaïla Sarr (3 goals, 1 assist in the group stage) and the returning Sadio Mané is a real threat. KEY CONCERNS: Belgium conceded in BOTH draws (vs Egypt and Iran) before cleaning up vs New Zealand — their defence, missing Zeno Debast (thigh, doubtful), has been inconsistent. Senegal are WITHOUT first-choice GK Édouard Mendy (knee, confirmed out), who was their best performer in the group stage. Backup Mory Diaw (France) is a significant step down. Market consensus: Kalshi — Belgium 46%, Draw 27%, Senegal 27%. Both Squawka and FootballPredictions.com predict Belgium 2-1. OUR PICK: Belgium edge it 2-1 in a goal-filled Round of 32 thriller at Lumen Field, Seattle.