This is a high-stakes Group G finale at BC Place, Vancouver. Belgium arrives on 2 points following back-to-back draws against Iran (0-0) and Egypt (1-1), remaining winless in open play where their only tournament goal came via a forced own goal. New Zealand sits at the bottom on 1 point after falling 1-3 to Egypt and fighting out a gutsy 2-2 draw with Iran. While Darren Bazeley's unit will sit in a compact mid-to-low block and attempt direct long-ball releases to Chris Wood, Belgium's creative center consisting of Kevin De Bruyne, Youri Tielemans, and Leandro Trossard possesses an overwhelming advantage. Furthermore, Belgium logged a massive 23 shots and 1.79 xG against Iran without finding the net—statistics indicating a breakout performance is imminent. Despite some major Belgian structural absences due to injuries (Doku, Debast) and Ngoy's card suspension, their ultimate line talent remains completely dominant. Markets favor Belgium heavily around -250. Expect Belgium to unlock New Zealand's backline early and take control. Our pick: A decisive 3-1 Belgian triumph.