This is a must-win clash for both sides — both lost their Group D openers (Turkey 0–2 to Australia; Paraguay 1–4 to USA) and face near-certain elimination if they drop points here. Türkiye dominated their opener vs Australia (72% possession, 30 shots) but converted 0 — classic unlucky performance, not a structural failure. Kenan Yıldız (calf issue) is expected to START this time, and his addition unlocks a completely different Turkish attack. Paraguay have a massive injury blow: Julio Enciso (12 goals, 9 assists for Strasbourg in 2025/26) suffered a double hamstring/quad injury on June 5 vs Nicaragua and is almost certainly absent here. Without Enciso, Paraguay's 0.47 xG vs USA looks even more damning. Sportytrader: TUR 64% · Asianetnews: TUR 53% · Oddspedia community: TUR 69% · FreeSuperTips: TUR 2–1 · WorldCupWiki: TUR 2–0. Markets: TUR ~+100 to +120, PAR +380–+400, Draw +240–+285. Our prediction: Türkiye edge it 2–1, with Yıldız opening his WC account and Güler pulling strings throughout. Paraguay will score — they've netted in 15 of last 17 games — but lack the firepower without Enciso to hold Turkey back.