Belgium are the clear market favourites at -150 (60% Kalshi / 55% PredictionMarkets), but don't dismiss Egypt lightly: The Pharaohs have beaten Belgium in ALL FOUR of their previous meetings, including a stunning 2-1 friendly win in 2022. Egypt arrive at Lumen Field having held world #1 Spain to a 0-0 draw in March 2026 and demolished Saudi Arabia 4-0. Their defensive structure under Hossam Hassan is elite: 3 clean sheets in last 5, conceding only 3 goals across those matches. Against that sits Belgium's ageing but still formidable attacking depth — Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli) as the creative engine, Jérémy Doku's electric pace on the wing, and Leandro Trossard off the bench. However, Romelu Lukaku is confirmed NOT starting (Garcia says "still too premature"), Zeno Debast is OUT injured, and the Red Devils' golden generation has famously never lifted a major trophy. Egypt's Salah (67 int'l goals, 3 shy of Egypt all-time record) plus Marmoush (Man City, 24 goals Bundesliga 2024-25) is one of the most dangerous front pairings in the tournament. Expect a tight, cagey opener in Seattle — Belgium should edge it, but Egypt can absolutely snatch a result. Our pick: Belgium 2-1 Egypt, decided by a De Bruyne-created goal and a Salah consolation from the spot.